The Caribbean region will continue to experience Tropical Cyclone Activity according to reports from the Caribbean Climate Outlook Forum (CariCOF). Estimates also say that North Atlantic temperatures are likely to remain high till December which will most likely lead to significant Tropical Cyclone Activity.
The latest newsletter released (October to December) by the organisation clarifies that elevated temperature will continue to amplify heat stress throughout October, accompanied by humidity and heatwave frequency, fueling a record-breaking Caribbean Heat Season.
Flooding and cascading hazards will also be high during the wet season due too intense rain during the peak of the season.
In Belize and the Southern Caribbean region though, the formation of a moderate to strong El Nino are quite high which will likely lead to a drought. In coastal Guianas, there are growing concerns related to a heatwave and the possibility of a drought currently, as well as potential flooding through out December.
In the ABC Islands, Hispaniola, the Leeward Islands and the US Caribbean Territories, the possibility of rainfall matches usual levels or is slightly higher than normal.
Conversely, the regions of the Cayman Islands, The Guianas, Trinidad and Tobago, Belize and The Bahamas are likely to experience usual or slightly lower levels of rainfall.